Trump Tariffs: Tracking the Economic Impact of the Trump Trade War
The Trump tariffs are the largest US tax increase as a percent of GDP since 1993 and amount to an average tax increase per US household of $1,500 in 2026.
48 min read
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Evaluating Washington’s Proposed Millionaires’ Tax
Washington lawmakers are holding their first hearing on long-anticipated legislation that would create a new 9.9 percent tax on income over $1 million.
6 min read
The State Income Tax Divergence
Lawmakers in many states continue to pursue additional income tax relief, while their counterparts elsewhere pursue the opposite goal.
3 min read
The Federal Payroll Tax: A Primer
With changes to payroll taxes likely to be part of a toolkit for reform, both policymakers and the public would benefit from understanding how the payroll tax works, who pays it, and its impact on the economy.
21 min read
When Taxing AI, Don’t Reinvent the Wheel
AI technology has a wide range of potential economic outcomes. It would be a mistake to tailor tax policy to the extreme end of that range. Still, policymakers shouldn’t do nothing: they should instead make tax reforms that are sound regardless of which AI scenario emerges.
7 min read
Two Virginia Income Tax Proposals Would Make the State Less Affordable
Should both HB 979 and HB 378 pass, Virginia would have the nation’s highest top marginal rate on investment income.
8 min readThe EU’s Questionable VAT Policy
8 min readFeatured Work
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2026 State Tax Competitiveness Index
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International Tax Competitiveness Index 2025
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2024 European Tax Policy Scorecard
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How to Rein in the National Debt
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Risks to the US Tax Base from Pillar Two
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ExpertSean Bray
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Commentary
See All CommentaryYes, You’re Getting a Bigger Tax Refund. But That’s Not the Whole Story.
Economic policy in 2025 came with historic highs but also disappointing lows.
Cut the Income Tax, Not Taxes on Tips and Overtime
Though politically popular, “no tax on tips and overtime” is a short-sighted gimmick that risks derailing West Virginia’s path to prosperity.
Trump Tax Policy Shift Toward Stability Must Stay the Course
The Trump administration has rightly shifted its focus from pursuing legislative changes to implementing new permanent rules. But in this shift, it’s crucial that the White House doesn’t lose focus on the larger task at hand.
2025 Tax Review | What OBBBA Changed, the Impact of Tariffs, and What’s Next
In this episode, we break down what the OBBBA did, walk through our projections, and zoom out to other defining fights of 2025: Trump’s “Liberation Day” tariffs, the Supreme Court challenge over presidential tariff power, and the growing wave of property tax revolts across the states.
Testimony: Taxation of Ultra-High-Net-Worth Individuals
Instead of implementing new wealth taxes, European policymakers should focus on making the current tax system more efficient and transparent.
Tariff Rebate Checks Won’t Help Families. Ending the Trade War Would.
One thing remains certain: sending out tariff rebates does not provide a long-term solution for families, but ending the trade war would.
Trump’s Tariffs Head to the Supreme Court
The Chronic Disorder of Ever-Expanding Healthcare Subsidies
Testimony: Digital Services Taxes in the European Union
Can We Replace the Property Tax?
Could a Pigouvian Tax Help Solve Climate Change?
Learning, Not Leaning: What Canada’s Tax Policy Should Take from the US