The economic crisis caused by the coronavirus pandemic poses a triple challenge for tax policy in the United States. Lawmakers are tasked with crafting a policy response that will accelerate the economic recovery, reduce the mounting deficit, and protect the most vulnerable.
To assist lawmakers in navigating the challenge, and to help the American public understand the tax changes being proposed, the Tax Foundation’s Center for Federal Tax Policy modeled how 70 potential changes to the tax code would affect the U.S. economy, distribution of the tax burden, and federal revenue.
In tax policy there is an ever-present trade-off among how much revenue a tax will raise, who bears the burden of a tax, and what impact a tax will have on economic growth. Armed with the information in our new book, Options for Reforming America’s Tax Code 2.0, policymakers can debate the relative merits and trade-offs of each option to improve the tax code in a post-pandemic world.
Understanding Debt, Deficits, and Interest
The US national debt is on an unprecedented and unsustainable trajectory that will require ever-greater borrowing and larger interest payments on what is borrowed. These interest payments will, in turn, consume a larger part of the budget, and all Americans will pay the price.
4 min read
Financial Ruin? Why Losing IEEPA Tariff Revenue Won’t Change the Long-Term US Fiscal Trajectory
The US fiscal trajectory is on an unsustainable path over the next 35 years, regardless of whether the IEEPA tariffs are struck down or maintained.
3 min read
Fiscal Forum: Future of the EU Tax Mix with Dr. Jean-Philippe van West
Sean Bray interviews Dr. Jean-Philippe van West, Professor of International and European tax law at Vrije Universiteit Brussel, about the future of the EU tax mix.
10 min read
Does the G7 Global Minimum Tax “Side-by-Side” Solution Give US Multinationals an Advantage?
Rather than returning to a world of retaliatory tax measures and transatlantic disputes, the OECD should continue to decrease the compliance costs of Pillar Two by simplifying the rules to reduce any possible risk that the US has a compliance cost advantage and working with G7 countries on a side-by-side solution.
6 min read
The Progressivity of the US Tax Code
Since the inception of the modern federal individual income tax in 1913, the US tax code has generally become more progressive, not less. Will the recent tax changes made by the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) alter this?
4 min read
Fiscal Forum: Future of the EU Tax Mix with Dr. Eva Eberhartinger
Sean Bray interviews Dr. Eva Eberhartinger, professor of business taxation at WU Vienna University of Economics and Business, about the future of the EU tax mix.
8 min read
US Effective Tax Rates Remain Highly Progressive, Despite Some Economists’ Claims
Targeting wealth at the top through higher taxes has a certain appeal, but it also comes with a lot of drawbacks, including increased avoidance and reduced incentives to invest.
6 min read
Poor Tax Policy Is Worsening Cigarette Smuggling in the EU
Countries and global organizations should recognize the harms caused by cigarette smuggling and the fact that this illicit trade is a direct result of exorbitant tax policies.
5 min read
The UK Should Lower or Abolish, Not Raise, Its VAT Registration Threshold
The United Kingdom Treasury’s proposal to increase in the value-added tax (VAT) registration threshold would hold back small business growth, reduce the efficiency of the VAT system, and lead to a revenue shortfall.
4 min read
One Big Beautiful Bill Act’s Corporate Tax Changes Benefit US Manufacturing the Most
The industry breakdown of the OBBBA corporate tax cuts shows firms in industries involved with tangible production, such as manufacturing, are the biggest winners, as measured by changes in tax liability.
3 min read