Budget Reconciliation: Tracking the 2025 Trump Tax Cuts
Our experts are providing the latest details and analysis of proposed federal tax policy changes.
10 min read
Featured Articles
Making the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act Permanent: Economic, Revenue, and Distributional Effects
Permanently extending the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act would boost long-run economic output by 1.1 percent, the capital stock by 0.7 percent, wages by 0.5 percent, and hours worked by 847,000 full-time equivalent jobs.
6 min read
Tax Calculator: How the TCJA’s Expiration Will Affect You
Unless Congress acts, Americans are in for a tax hike in 2026.
3 min read
Expiring TCJA Tax Provisions in 2026 Would Produce Substantial Tax Hike across the US
At the end of 2025, the individual tax provisions in the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) expire all at once. Without congressional action, most taxpayers will see a notable tax increase relative to current policy in 2026.
4 min read
Options for Navigating the 2025 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act Expirations
Policymakers should have two priorities in the upcoming economic policy debates: a larger economy and fiscal responsibility. Principled, pro-growth tax policy can help accomplish both.
21 min read
How 2026 Tax Brackets Would Change if the TCJA Expires
If Congress allows the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) to expire as scheduled, most aspects of the individual income tax would undergo substantial changes, resulting in more than 62 percent of tax filers experiencing tax increases in 2026.
3 min read
Conference on Tax Cuts and Jobs Act’s Effects Shows Further Tax Reforms Needed in 2025
Lawmakers should see 2025 as an opportunity to consider more fundamental tax reforms. While the TCJA addressed some of the deficiencies of the tax code, it by no means addressed them all.
8 min read
Considering Tax Reform Options for 2025 (and Beyond)
Given that U.S. debt is roughly the size of our annual economic output, policymakers will face many tough fiscal choices in the coming years. The good news is there are policies that both support a larger economy and avoid adding to the debt.
6 min read
Another Huge Federal Deficit in Fiscal Year 2024 Despite Surging Corporate and Other Tax Collections
While federal tax collections—especially corporate taxes—have reached historically high levels, these gains have not kept pace with escalating spending, particularly on debt interest, leading to a substantial and concerning budget deficit in FY24.
6 min read
Why Are the Individual Tax Cuts Expiring?
The TCJA improved the U.S. tax code, but the meandering voyage of its passing and the compromises made to get it into law show the challenges of the legislative process.
6 min read
TCJA Family Provisions Offer Template for Tax Reform in 2025
The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act’s changes to family tax policy serve as a reminder to avoid looking at tax reform provisions in a vacuum.
5 min read
How the TCJA Affected Legal Business Forms
The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) significantly lowered the effective tax rates on business income, but the impact was not the same for C corporations and pass-through businesses.
6 min read
How Did the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act Change Cost Recovery?
As lawmakers consider which policies to prioritize in the upcoming tax policy debates, better cost recovery for all investment should be top of mind.
7 min read
Tax Reform Offsets Shouldn’t Offset Economic Growth
Pro-growth tax reform that does not add to the deficit will require tough choices, but whether to raise the corporate tax rate is not one of them. If lawmakers want to craft fiscally responsible and pro-growth tax reform, a higher corporate tax rate simply does not fit into the puzzle.
3 min read
New Study Finds TCJA Strongly Boosted Corporate Investment
The 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) was the largest corporate tax reform in a generation, lowering the corporate tax rate from 35 percent to 21 percent, temporarily allowing full expensing for short-lived assets (referred to as bonus depreciation), and overhauling the international tax code.
6 min read
How Have Federal Revenues Evolved since the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act?
As members of Congress prepare to address the expiration of the TCJA, they should appreciate how revenues have evolved since 2017.
4 min read
Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, Inflation Reduction Act, CHIPS Act: Comparing and Contrasting the New Industrial Policy
While the approaches differ, they share a reliance on similar linkages: new capital investment drives productivity growth, which grows the economy and raises wages for workers.
37 min read
The Impact of GILTI, FDII, and BEAT
The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017 (TCJA) reformed the U.S. system for taxing international corporate income. Understanding the impact of TCJA’s international provisions thus far can help lawmakers consider how to approach international tax policy in the coming years.
30 min readAll Related Articles
Who Gets a Tax Cut Under the Amended Senate Tax Cuts and Jobs Act?
Here’s how the individual income tax provisions of the amended Senate’s Tax Cuts and Jobs Act would impact individuals and families across the income spectrum.
5 min read
NCSL May Revisit Stance Fighting State & Local Tax Deduction Repeal
The National Conference of State Legislatures may revisit a decision to reject tax reform that repeals the state and local tax deduction.
2 min read
Federal Tax Reform Might Push New Jersey to Reform Tax System
New Jersey has the worst state business tax climate of the 50 states and the third highest state and local tax burden. If federal tax reform prompts New Jersey to overhaul its tax code, it’s long overdue.
3 min read
Are Pass-Through Businesses Treated Fairly Under the Senate Version of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act?
A more careful look shows that the Senate Tax Cuts and Jobs Act doesn’t put pass-through businesses at a disadvantage compared to C corporations.
4 min read
Understanding JCT’s New Distributional Tables for the Senate’s Tax Cuts and Jobs Act
Much attention is being paid to distributional tables released by JCT on the Senate’s Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, but their results don’t quite seem to show what some are suggesting. While the results appears to show a tax increase for some lower-income filers, this is due to the unique nature of the individual mandate and the premium tax credits available under the Affordable Care Act.
2 min read
The House Takes a Big Step Forward on Tax Reform
The House of Representatives passed the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act by a vote of 227-205. Here is a summary of the major provisions in the final package.
2 min read
The Economics of Permanent Corporate Rate Cuts Must Outweigh the Optics of Sunsetting Individual Tax Cuts
The Senate Tax Cuts and Jobs Act is right to make the most pro-growth policies permanent and sunset the ones that will do less economic harm.
6 min read
Overview of the Senate’s Amendment to the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act
The Chairman’s Mark of the Senate’s Tax Cuts and Jobs Act includes a number of important changes. Here’s a quick overview of those that matter most.
3 min read
Who Gets a Tax Cut Under the Senate Tax Cuts and Jobs Act?
Here’s how the individual income tax provisions of the Senate’s Tax Cuts and Jobs Act would impact individuals and families across the income spectrum.
5 min read
The Senate Tax Cuts and Jobs Act: The Impacts of Jobs and Incomes by State
See the state-by-state impact of the Senate Tax Cuts and Jobs Act for both new jobs and the boost to after-tax incomes for middle-income families.
2 min read
Preliminary Details and Analysis of the Senate’s 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act
This comprehensive overview of the of the Senate Tax Cuts and Jobs Act includes a summary of its details and macroeconomic analysis of how it would impact federal revenue, wages, GDP, and after-tax incomes.
23 min read
Eight Important Changes in the Senate Tax Cuts and Jobs Act
The Senate Tax Cuts and Jobs Act includes hundreds of structural reforms to the tax code. Here is a guide to the eight most important changes.
5 min read
Important Differences Between House and Senate Versions of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act
This list, though not exhaustive, catalogues the major differences between the House and Senate version of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act.
4 min read
Details of the Senate Version of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act
The Senate Tax Cuts and Jobs Act shares many things with its House counterpart, but also differs on several particulars. This guide consolidates all of the details of the Senate plan in one convenient location.
3 min read
Small Pass-Through Businesses Would See Some Benefits Under the House Tax Cuts and Jobs Act
Even with large changes, many in the pass-through community are arguing that small pass-throughs don’t benefit since most or all of their taxable income falls below the 25 percent maximum rate. While correct on the small point, advocates miss the greater tax reform picture. Small pass-through businesses would still benefit from a number of other changes.
2 min read
Updated Details and Analysis of the 2017 House Tax Cuts and Jobs Act
This comprehensive overview of the of the House Tax Cuts and Jobs Act includes a summary of its details and macroeconomic analysis of how it would impact federal revenue, wages, GDP, and after-tax incomes.
20 min read
Eight Important Changes in the House Tax Cuts and Jobs Act
The widely anticipated House Tax Cuts and Jobs Act includes hundreds of structural changes to the tax code. Here are the eight most important provisions in no particular order.
6 min read
Details of the House Tax Cuts and Jobs Act
The House Tax Cuts and Jobs act would fundamentally reform the U.S. tax code for the first time in over 30 years. Here are all the important details.
4 min readThe Jobs and Wage Effects of a Corporate Rate Cut
Corporate tax reform done right is key to growing the economy, boosting real family incomes, and making the U.S. a better place in which to do business.
5 min read