Social Security is by far the largest federal government spending program, constituting 21 percent of the federal budget, or $1.3 trillion, in FY 2023—larger than the entire nondefense discretionary budget. The latest trustees report shows the program is on a fiscally unsustainable path that will exacerbate the US debt crisis if its imbalances are not addressed in the near term. By 2035, the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance (OASDI) Trust Fund will be depleted, and current payroll taxes will only be able to fund 83 percent of the scheduled Social Security benefits. Absent any reforms, Social Security recipients would immediately face a 17 percent cut in benefits.
Election Day 2019 will feature notable tax-related ballot measures in California, Colorado, New Mexico, Pennsylvania, Texas, and Washington. Once the polls close tonight, beginning with Pennsylvania and Texas at 8 PM EST, we will begin tracking the results as they come in.
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The tax burden for most Americans in 2019 –67.8 percent—will come primarily from payroll taxes, not income taxes. While the income tax is progressive, with average rates rising with income, the payroll tax is regressive, with the highest average rate falling on Americans with the lowest incomes.
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