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Taxes and the Economy

The research below explores the economics of tax policy and the intellectual underpinnings of our efforts to quantify tax changes using our dynamic Taxes and Growth (TAG) macroeconomic model.

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International Tax Crowding Out

Time to Shoulder Aside “Crowding Out” As an Excuse Not to Do Tax Reform

This paper evaluates the arguments for and against “crowding out” and compares these arguments to empirical studies. It discusses the impact of tax changes on the allocation of national income between consumption and saving, and the allocation of saving between private investment and government deficits. It finds that the crowding out argument is largely based on a mistaken assumption about the flexibility and availability of saving and credit for the financing of government deficits and private investment.

31 min read
corporate income tax

Labor Bears Much of the Cost of the Corporate Tax

Recent empirical evidence shows that workers bear upwards of 70 percent of the corporate income tax burden, much more than popular tax models claim, which make errors in how they account for super-normal returns and the openness of our economy.

50 min read