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One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA)

Explore our latest tax policy research, analysis, and commentary of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBB).

Budget Reconciliation

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full expensing tariffs trump big beautiful bill no The Low-Tax Case for Tariffs

There Is No Low-Tax Case for Tariffs

Full expensing under the One Big Beautiful Bill Act does not neutralize the tariff burden on imported goods, as former White House Council of Economic Advisers chair Stephen Miran asserts.

8 min read
America 250th Anniversary, History of US Tax Code

What 250 Years of Tax History Reveal About the US Tax Code

Just as many parts of American life have transformed over the past 250 years, so too has the federal tax system. While most taxes levied in the 18th century are still levied in some form today, the federal government’s reliance on them, the complexity of the tax code, and Americans’ overall tax burdens have shifted considerably.

5 min read
Can Tax Hikes on the Rich Solve the US National Debt Crisis? Social Security Medicare Spending Entitlement Reform

Can Tax Reform Solve the Debt Problem—or Just Slow It?

This study simulates several large tax increases and consistently finds that even tax increases large enough to close the primary deficit in the near term will lose ground over time and fail to put the debt on a sustainable course. 

41 min read
state full expensing permanent to curb inflation Cost Recovery and Full Expensing

The OBBBA Improved the Treatment of Investment—but There’s Still Work to Do

The OBBBA significantly boosted economic prospects by improving the treatment of investment. By making key expensing provisions permanent, the OBBBA created better conditions for long-term growth. However, there’s still work to be done, and the OBBBA provided a blueprint for policymakers to follow.

4 min read
Historical corporate tax rates and brackets. Explore the latest data on historical federal corporate income tax rates and brackets. Corporation tax rates history

Why Is My Tax Refund Larger This Year?

If you’ve filed your taxes already, you may have noticed a larger refund this year. That’s due to changes Congress made with the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) last year that retroactively cut taxes for 2025.

3 min read
2026 State of the Union Trump Tariffs Tax Cuts Debt

2026 State of the Union: Five Things to Know

President Trump is scheduled to deliver the annual State of the Union address to Congress. The speech is bound to address a multitude of topics, but taxes and (especially) tariffs will certainly feature prominently.

6 min read
International Tax Policy, European Geoeconomics

Lessons From European Geoeconomics & The Future Of International Tax Policy

European policymakers would be wise to refocus tax and trade policies on what is good for Europe rather than trying to change policies in countries beyond European borders. Meanwhile, the Trump administration would be wise to recognize that the transatlantic relationship is a geoeconomic asset that can be mutually beneficial.

No Tax on Social Security vs. Proposed $4,000 Senior Bonus Senior Tax Deduction One Big Beautiful Bill Act OBBB

How Does the Additional Senior Deduction Compare to No Tax on Social Security?

The increased senior deduction with the phaseout would deliver a larger tax cut to lower-middle- and middle-income taxpayers compared to exempting all Social Security benefits from income taxation and would not weaken the trust funds as much. But given the temporary nature of the policy, it would increase the deficit-impact of the reconciliation bills without boosting long-run economic growth.

3 min read