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2026 California Billionaire Tax Act

Constitutional Flaws of California’s Proposed Wealth Tax

The California Billionaire Tax Act (Proposition 40), which imposes a one-time 5 percent tax on billionaires’ net worth, is vulnerable to numerous constitutional challenges, any of which could invalidate the tax in whole or in part.

28 min read
Wealth Taxes, Government Revenue

Why Wealth Taxes Always Fail

Though they are often framed as affecting only the richest households, the economic effects of wealth taxes extend much further by reducing capital formation, discouraging entrepreneurship, curtailing wage and employment growth, and ultimately weakening the overall economy.

The California Billionaire Tax Act

Why Billionaires Are Still Leaving California

The California Billionaire Tax Act’s residency provisions are exceptionally vulnerable to legal challenge. Even if the tax passes and survives challenges to its broader constitutionality, billionaires who leave California sometime in 2026 have good reason to believe they can escape some or all of the tax.

High-Tax States Competitiveness, Wealth Taxes

Targeting High Earners is Misguided and Will Worsen States’ Fiscal Positions

Policies that increase the tax burden on high earners makes states less competitive, increase revenue volatility, discourage investment, and risk accelerating outmigration of talent and capital. Many top-earners are already leaving high-tax states for Florida, North Carolina, and other low-tax jurisdictions.

9 min read
2026 California Billionaire Tax Act, Wealth Tax and Migration

Mid-Year Movers and the California Wealth Tax

If approved by voters, the wealth tax will face a flurry of serious legal challenges—some to its overall constitutionality, and some regarding who can be taxed and to what degree if the tax survives broader legal scrutiny.

24 min read
Michigan Ballot Tax Plan: Progressive Income Tax for Education Invest in MI Kids Tax the Wealthy and Rich

Progressive Income Tax on the Ballot in Michigan?

If Michiganders are interested in increasing the state’s spending on education or other priorities—and believe that current revenues are insufficient to support such an increase—there are several ways to do so without significantly affecting residents’ incentives to live and work in Michigan.

4 min read
2024 Drug Policy Ballot Initiative, Drug Legalization Results

Momentum Slows for State Drug Legalization Policies via 2024 State Ballot Initiatives

With the significant potential for state revenues, and the prior political success of arguments that legalization can shift consumers to safer legal markets, it seems likely that states will continue to see legislation and ballot initiatives to legalize marijuana at the state level—even states that failed to do so this election.

5 min read
georgia amendment 1

Georgia Amendment 1 Threatens the State’s Housing Market

Georgia should focus on policies that restrict the overall growth of property taxes, not policies that functionally freeze property taxes for current owners by shifting costs onto new owners and into the sales tax.  

6 min read
election day 2022 results state tax ballot measures election 2022 results

Before Repealing the Property Tax, Look Under the Hood

If voters are being asked to charge state legislators with raising the equivalent of a doubling of the current income and sales tax, shouldn’t they get to know what the plan is first?

2024 state and local tax ballot measures details analysis and tax ballot measure results

State Tax Ballot Measures to Watch in 2024

Taxes are on the ballot this November—not just in the sense that candidates at all levels are offering their visions for tax policy, but also in the literal sense that voters in some states will get to decide important questions about how their states raise revenue.

9 min read
North Dakota property tax ballot measure 2024

North Dakota Considers Eliminating Property Taxes

Eliminating the property tax will unfortunately set North Dakota back in significant ways, making the state a national outlier and eroding regional competitiveness.

6 min read