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Debt Limit Deadline and Growing National Debt Demand Action CBO long-term budget forecast federal spending national debt and deficit CHIPS and Science Act Biden estate tax unrealized capital gains at death Federal capital gains tax collections historical data CBO releases new long-term budget outlook, The national debt is now projected to nearly double by 2050

How Does the OBBBA Impact Debt, Deficits, and Tax Revenue?

Our modeling indicates the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) will boost economic growth but increase deficits, leading to record high debt in 2028 that rises to 124 percent of GDP by 2034.

7 min read
GILTI to NCTI, State Tax Codes Decouple

Some States Will Tax NCTI Despite Prior Votes to Exempt International Income

Several states have decoupled from GILTI by name rather than statutory citation. Lawmakers in those states should amend these statutes to ensure that their tax code does not accidentally incorporate a much more aggressive tax on international income than the tax from which they previously decoupled.

6 min read
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IEEPA Tariffs Are Down from April Threats

Since April, the tariffs that have been implemented in practice are mostly, but not exclusively, lower than what was originally threatened.

5 min read