McCain Releases Ad Calling Obama’s Tax Cuts Welfare
October 16, 2008
For a few weeks, Barack Obama has been running an advertisement equating McCain's tax cuts to spending when much of the tax cuts are really not anything like spending (most aren't tax expenditures and are just rate cuts). Now John McCain has a new ad entitled "Joe the Plumber" out today that calls Barack Obama's tax plan welfare. Here's a description of the ad courtesy Newsmax:
The ad shows Wurzelbacher telling Obama during a campaign stop in Holland, Ohio: “Your new tax plan is going to tax me more.”
Obama tells him: “It's not that I want to punish your success … I think when you spread the wealth around, it's good for everybody.”
The announcer then intones: “Everybody? Leading papers call Obama's taxes ‘welfare … government handouts.’
“Obama raises taxes on seniors, hard-working families to give ‘welfare’ to those who pay none.
“Just as you suspected, Obama's not truthful on taxes.”
Does Obama raise taxes on seniors? Yes, but it's not as if he is targeting seniors for tax hikes. In fact, Obama's tax policies give preference to seniors versus non-seniors. It's just like Sen. Obama saying that McCain cuts taxes for oil companies. Technically true, but pretty misleading.
The McCain campaign defines "welfare" from this Tax Policy Center table that shows that refundable credits would be about $100 billion under Sen. Obama's tax plan (versus about $53 billion under current law). Is it welfare? Well it's true that it's not much different in principle from TANF (the traditional welfare program), but saying that these people pay no taxes is incorrect. Most of these people still have a positive tax liability when one includes corporate income taxes (indirect), excise taxes, and payroll taxes.
But this symmetry between tax credits and spending should be an indicator to policymakers and the general public that we need to have a more serious discussion on two questions: (1) What should the overall level of redistribution be, and (2) once we have determined this proper level of redistribution (if any), what is the best policy mechanism that attempts to achieve that end? (Is it direct spending programs through an agency like HHS, a special tax provision via the IRS, a progressive rate structure in the income tax that is implicit redistribution depending upon benefit of government spending, or regulatory policy?)
McCain is right to point out that Obama is basically using the term "tax cut" because it sounds good to voters when in fact much of his tax cuts are really no different than government spending. But McCain's health care tax credit is economically eqivalent to government spending as well, even though he would consider that a tax cut.
And on this issue of all tax cuts being good tax cuts unless you reach the floor of a zero income tax, there are many problems with this view held by many on the right. Ask yourself: Suppose Charlie Rangel put forth a nonrefundable "Promoting Liberalism" tax credit that taxpayers would receive for donations to the following entities: Rev. Jeremiah Wright's church, Moveon.org, People for the American Way, Center for American Progress, and ACORN. So if George Soros owed $1 million in income taxes before credits and gave $1.1 million to Moveon.org under this policy, he would owe zero (but it's not refundable). But hey, it's a tax cut. It must be good policy right?