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“Hauser’s Law”: Can Tax Revenues Exceed 19% of GDP?

By: Joseph Bishop-Henchman

David Ranson has an interesting piece at the Wall Street Journal about "Hauser's Law," the observation that federal taxA tax is a mandatory payment or charge collected by local, state, and national governments from individuals or businesses to cover the costs of general government services, goods, and activities. revenues have historically not exceeded about 19%-20% of GDP despite significant increases and decreases in tax rates. The implication is that attempts to raise revenue above this purported ceiling will reduce GDP and thus reduce collections under the ceiling.

An interesting read with a neat chart.

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About the Author

Joseph Bishop-Henchman

Joseph Bishop-Henchman

Executive Vice President

Joe Bishop-Henchman is Executive Vice President at the Tax Foundation, where he analyzes state tax trends, constitutional issues, and tax law developments. Joe has testified or presented to officials in 36 states, testified before Congress six times, and has written over 75 major studies on tax policy.