The Tax Policy Blog

The Tax Policy Blog is the official weblog of the Tax Foundation, a non-partisan, non-profit research organization that has monitored tax policy at the federal, state and local levels since 1937. Our economists welcome your feedback. If you would like to send an e-mail to the author of a blog post, please click on that person's name to locate his or her e-mail address or visit our staff page here.

 

May 16, 2012

The Louisiana legislature has approved a bill that would continue to provide tax breaks to the NBA’s New Orleans Hornets. The tax credits, $37 million over ten years, are part of the state’s Quality Jobs economic development program. The bill now goes to Governor Jindal for approval. According to the Times-Picayune, the bill is part of a larger deal:

The bill is part of the package of concessions the state made in negotiations to keep the National Basketball Association franchise playing at the Arena through at least 2024, and possibly 2029.[…]

The new contract between the NBA and the state also requires the state to come up with $50 million to $60 million in capital construction money to renovate the Arena during the next two years to make room for more expensive seating and box suites that Hornets management can sell.

The new deal also reduces a state attendance subsidy to the team. Under the previous agreement, the state had to pay the team up to $8 million per year if fan attendance was low. The potential annual subsidy has been reduced to $2.8 million in the new deal.

Stadium and sports team subsidies are fairly common, but many economists criticize the underlying economics. The claims of economic benefits tend to be exaggerated and usually leave out the fact that much of the economic activity associated with a sports team is likely to be shifted from other entertainment sectors. And, as is all too common with many analyses of economic development incentives, opportunity costs are ignored. Economists Andrew Zimbalist and Roger Noll summarized their findings in 1997 after studying sports subsidies around the nation:

In every case, the conclusions are the same. A new sports facility has an extremely small (perhaps even negative) effect on overall economic activity and employment. No recent facility appears to have earned anything approaching a reasonable return on investment. No recent facility has been self-financing in terms of its impact on net tax revenues. Regardless of whether the unit of analysis is a local neighborhood, a city, or an entire metropolitan area, the economic benefits of sports facilities are de minimus.

Clearly the Governor would not be justified in approving this deal based on the economic literature. Some subsidy proponents have responded to these criticisms by citing difficult-to-quantify intangible benefits, such as local pride and national prestige. However, if this is the best argument that proponents have, states and cities should be wary of continuing to dump money into sports subsidies.

For more on public funding for stadiums and convention centers, see:
Sen. Obama Wrong About Economics of Sports Stadiums
Tax-Funded Raleigh Convention Center Subsidizing Conventions to Get Business
As the Stadium Deal Turns
Taxpayers Should Cry Foul Over Stadium Subsidies
D.C. Mayor to Divert Dedicated Funds from Stadium

May 15, 2012

We're proud to launch a completely new version of our website today. It's been redesigned completely by the good folks at Qorvis Communications. In addition to the visual overhaul, we've moved a few items around to make things easier to find.

First up are our new State Pages, which have been reorganized to show basic tax rates and statistics, as well as where each state rank in our various annual studies. Pick your state from the drop down menu to get a comprehensive look at its tax system.

We've also overhauled our Tax Topics page. Previously, we had separate topic pages for articles, blog posts, data tables, etc. Now, all of these things appear together on the same topic page, while still being organized by content type.

If you're looking for all our publications in one page, visit our Historical Studies and Reports page, where you can filter by year of publication.

If you've found a broken link, or have comments or questions about the new design, please email them to webmaster@taxfoundation.org.

May 15, 2012

This morning, we published a report on some of the taxes being proposed during Maryland's special session. The special session was called to avoid "doomsday" budget cuts that were triggered when the assembly failed to reach a revenue deal at the end of the regular session. Of course, the budget cuts were actually cuts to planned spending increases, so even if they had been allowed to take place, the budget would have grown 2 percent over last year. This is hardly a doomsday scenario.

Today, we've just received word from the Maryland statehouse that the Senate has passed the income tax increases, and also snuck in a tobacco excise tax increase. The income tax increase will mean that a family of four earning $250,000 in Montgomery county will pay almost $1,000 more in taxes each year. You can find the rate breakdown here.

Increasing taxes on high-income earners is often politically expedient, but that does not make it sound tax policy. While voters sometimes see hiking taxes on the rich as a free lunch, doing so in the long term has dynamic effects. Namely, people are not willing to work as much if they have less take-home pay. This hurts long-term growth for the entire economy, and all citizens bear that cost.

The tobacco tax hike is troubling as well. It raises taxes on "little cigars" from 15 percent to 70 percent of wholesale, and raises taxes on smokeless tobacco from 15 to 30 percent. More and more I find myself being persuaded by the moral argument against taxing tobacco at increased rates. Patrick Fleenor put it best back in 2009:

The fact that something is risky doesn't make it bad. Some people ride motorcycles and sunbathe; like smoking, these are risky activities. Are they therefore bad? No. As long as people understand the risks of what they are doing and bear all of the costs, there is no reason for the government to threaten to impoverish them if they don't live their lives in the way some bureaucrat demands.

Life in a free society requires tolerance of activities that have little or no effect on others, even those we don't personally approve of. If government or interest groups have information about risks that are not widely known, they should disseminate it. Otherwise, adults should be left alone to live their lives in accordance with their own dreams and values.

More on Maryland here.

May 15, 2012

We've gotten word that the House of Representatives may consider H.R. 1864 this week, the Mobile Workforce State Income Tax Simplification Act. The bill would prohibit states from imposing income taxes on traveling workers unless they spend at least 30 days in the state. Currently, most states require tax payments and even tax withholding for workers in the state for much shorter periods of time, including as little as a day. (In that map below from the Council on State Taxation (PDF link), that's the red states.)

Such practices disrupt interstate commerce and falsely suggest that business travelers earn their income in traveling states and not from the home office. In recent hearings, Congress has shown its outrage at these state practices. Because of the tax credit for taxes paid to another state, this just shifts money around the country, toward states with the most aggressive rules. We're hearing more and more stories about state tax departments auditing travel records.

We'll update with more on the progress of the Mobile Workforce bill.

May 14, 2012

A key element of President Obama's corporate tax reform plan has been introduced in the U.S. House of Representatives by Rep. Bill Pascrell (D-NJ) and in the Senate by Sen. Debbie Stabenow (D-MI). Called the "Bring Jobs Home Act" (H.R. 5542), the bill would give eligible firms a tax credit equal to 20 percent of the cost of relocating overseas jobs back to the U.S.

Of course, the premise behind this legislation is that U.S. companies are "shipping jobs overseas" because of various perceived loopholes in the tax code and that a new tax break will encourage them to bring those jobs home.

But the facts show that the outsourcing issue may be one of the most over-hyped issues in American politics.

Hard data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) shows that only a small fraction of the mass layoffs in any given year are moved offshore. The vast majority of layoffs that result from the movement of jobs from one location to another are domestic - meaning that U.S. workers have more to fear from their job being moved from one state to another rather than to another country.

The table below shows the total number of job losses resulting from mass layoffs (layoffs of 50 workers or more) from 2008 to 2010. In 2010, just 3.1 percent of the nearly 1.3 million total layoffs were the result of relocating jobs from one location to another. Of those three years, 2008 had the largest percentage of relocation-driven layoffs at 4.0 percent.

BLS and the employers cannot always document where those jobs are move to, but the data clearly indicates that the vast majority of those jobs are domestic relocations and within the parent company. For example, in 2010 BLS was able to identify the destination of 18,622 job losses resulting from the movement of work (just 1.2 percent of the total layoffs that year). Of those identified, 71 percent were domestic relocations. By contrast, 5,336 of those job losses (29 percent) were relocated abroad and the majority of them were within the parent company.    

The bottom line is that the outsourcing of U.S. jobs abroad has become a political urban legend that has little basis in fact. As such, policies such as the Bring Jobs Home Act are likely to play well politically but have little impact on creating jobs here in the U.S.

Mass Layoffs and Separations Resulting from Movement of Work

2008

2009

2010

Total private nonfarm layoffs

1,516,978

2,108,202

1,256,606

Total layoffs from movement of work

60,956

61,694

39,104

Percentage of total layoffs

4.0%

2.9%

3.1%

Layoffs where relocation destination is known

35,076

32,228

18,622

Out of country relocations

11,431

10,378

5,336

Percent

33%

32%

29%

Within company

10,392

9,630

3,548

Different company

1039

748

1,788

Domestic relocations

23,370

21,555

13,286

Percent

67%

67%

71%

Within company

20,943

18,184

11,128

Different company

2,427

3,371

2,158

Source: BLS, http://www.bls.gov/mls/mlsreport1038.pdf, Tables 13, 14

May 14, 2012

On May 1, the Pennsylvania General Assembly passed HB 2150 that would make some significant changes to the state's corporate income tax system. The proposal will go to the Senate for consideration.

Gradual Rate Reduction
A major feature of the legislation is the reduction of the flat corporate income tax to 6.99 percent from 9.99 percent.  The gradual phase down would occur in increments over six years, beginning in 2014 (see table below). The state's current high tax rate, second only to Iowa (12% top rate), contributes to their ranking of 44th in the corporate income tax section our State Business Tax Climate Index (they are 19th overall). This rate reduction, coupled with a broadening of the tax base (largely avoided in this bill), would be a great way to improve the state's business tax system. 

Single Sales Factor
The second part of the bill changes Pennsylvania's apportionment formula for state corporate income tax to a single sales factor. All business income will be apportioned by 100 percent of a company's sales instead of a mix of property, payroll, and sales.

Switching to a single sales factor could be problematic. States that adopt such an apportionment formula are essentially shifting the corporate tax burden from in-state businesses with lots of property and employees to out-of-state businesses with substantial sales into the state. Large corporations with headquarters in Pennsylvania that have a majority of sales outside of the state would be taxed less than in-state businesses that derive most of their sales from within Pennsylvania.

The "Delaware Loophole"
The bill attempts to address the so-called "Delaware loophole" as it pertains to expenses related to the lease of intangible property from affiliated companies in Delaware. In this tax arrangement, a corporation doing business in Pennsylvania can lease intangible property, such as a corporate logo, from a company located in Delaware that holds the rights to that property. The lease payments are deductible as a cost of doing business for the Pennsylvania company, but as far as Delaware is concerned, the payments are not taxable income for the holding company. Thus this provides a tax advantage, especially when the two companies involved are affiliated (e.g the Delaware company is a subsidiary of the Pennsylvania company). The Pennsylvania bill would disallow the deduction for lease/royalty payments if the two companies are affiliated.

Uncaps Net Operating Loss Deductions
Generally, when a company's expenses exceed its taxable total income for the year (a net operating loss, or NOL) that company can use the losses to lower their income and reduce their taxes for past or future years, helping to smooth out often volatile business income. Pennsylvania caps net operating loss carry-forwards, one of only a few states to do so, at the greater of $3 million or 20% of taxable income. This bill will eliminate Pennsylvania's cap over nine years, putting them in line with the vast majority of other states.

More information on the Keystone State.

HR 2150 Tax Rate Reduction Schedule

 

Corporate Tax Rate

Net Operating Loss Deduction from Taxable Income (Lesser of)

December 31, 2013

9.99%

33% or four million dollars ($4,000,000)

 

December 31, 2014

9.49%

45% or five million dollars ($5,000,000)

 

December 31, 2015

8.75%

56%  or six million dollars ($6,000,000)

 

December 31, 2016

8.25%

66% or seven million dollars ($7,000,000)

 

December 31, 2017

7.75%

75% or eight million dollars ($8,000,000)

 

December 31, 2018

7.25%

83% or nine million dollars ($9,000,000)

 

December 31, 2019

6.99%

90% or ten million dollars ($10,000,000)

 

December 31, 2020

6.99%

96% or eleven million dollars ($11,000,000)

 

December 31, 2021

6.99%

100% or twelve million dollars ($12,000,000)

 

May 14, 2012

Today's Monday Map is a repeat of our cigarette tax map from a few weeks ago, with one change: it shows how the state rankings would change if California voters pass California Proposition 29, the Tobacco Tax for Cancer Research Act - a $1.00/20-pack increase in the cigarette excise tax. 

Currently, California's cigarette excise tax stands at $0.87/20-pack, giving the state the 32nd highest cigarette tax in the country. Should California pass Proposition 29, the tax would increase to $1.87, and would rank 15th highest.

map

Click on the map to enlarge it.

The original map is located here.

View previous Monday maps here.

May 14, 2012

Maryland's tax special session began today; expect more analysis on it from us tomorrow. However, we just received detail on S.B. 1302, the "State and Local Revenue and Financing Act of 2012." The bill would raise income tax rates for high-income earners, defined as those making at least $100,000. The proposal also more aggressively phases out exemptions for those filers.

The rate changes:

Singles
Bracket Current Rate Proposed Rate
>$0 2% 2%
>$1,000 3% 3%
>$2,000 4% 4%
>$3,000 4.75% 4.75%
>$100,000 4.75% 5%
>$125,000 4.75% 5.25%
>$150,000 5% 5.5%
>$250,000 5% 5.75%
>$300,000 5.25% 5.75%
>$500,000 5.5% 5.75%
Married Filing Jointly, Head of Household
Bracket Current Rate Proposed Rate
>$0 2% 2%
>$1,000 3% 3%
>$2,000 4% 4%
>$3,000 4.75% 4.75%
>$150,000 4.75% 5%
>$175,000 4.75% 5.25%
>$200,000 5% 5.5%
>$225,000 5% 5.75%
>$350,000 5.25% 5.75%
>$500,000 5.5% 5.75%

Our back-of-the-envelope state income tax calculation for a dual-earner, two child family with $250,000 in federal adjusted gross income:

State

Currently

Under Maryland Proposal

Maryland

$16,786

$17,775

District of Columbia

$16,612

$16,612

Virginia

$11,651

$11,651

More on Maryland here.

May 11, 2012

TaxProf points us to a very interesting article which makes the case that the origins of our current debate over "Obamacare" and particularly the health care individual mandate stem from 1960s era IRS rulings on the charitable nature of hospitals:

"In fact, under ruling 69-545 a tax-exempt hospital did not have to provide any free care to the poor so long as it maintained an emergency room open to all regardless of ability to pay, accepted Medicare and Medicaid patients, and had an independent governing body comprised of community leaders. The IRS had decided that the "promotion of health" was an inherently charitable purpose even if the cost is borne by patients and third party payors. It is important to note, that the change from a relief of poverty standard to a promotion of health/community benefit standard was not the result of a change in the law-rather it resulted solely from a change by the IRS in the regulations interpreting the law. The validity of this change has, however, withstood repeated court challenges. It appears that part of the reason for the approach taken by Revenue Ruling 69-545 was the passage of Medicare and Medicaid four years before in 1965. The IRS evidently believed that this new legislation would provide adequate access to medical care for the poor and indigent."

Accordingly, most hospitals now operate as tax-exempt entities and in return provide free or low cost care.  The removal of market pricing from health care has led to the same sort of problems we might expect if shoes were provided free of charge: over-consumption, out of control costs, poor quality service, and rationing.  The health care individual mandate is meant to address this market distortion by penalizing those who do not buy health insurance.  In this sense the circle is complete: both providers and consumers are subject to government pricing and terms.

See this for more on tax law and the individual mandate.

See this, this, and this for more on tax-exempt organizations.

Follow William McBride on Twitter @EconoWill

May 11, 2012

The Kansas House has approved a major tax cut bill and sent it to the Governor's desk. The bill would reduce marginal tax rates, repeal a number of income tax credits, and increase the standard deduction, among other provisions. On net the bill is estimated to reduce revenue by $231 million in 2013 and $803 million in 2014.

The interesting twist in this story is that this bill was actually killed by the Senate in March, over concerns about the cost (Tax Analysts, subscription req'd). However, only a few hours later the Senate revived the bill in a procedural move designed to keep alive the broader tax reduction debate and negotiation. A House-Senate conference committee was working on a compromise bill that would have phased-in the tax cuts less quickly and reduced taxes by about $61 million in 2013 and $191 million in 2014.

However, some House members we apparently not satisfied with the direction or pace of the negotiations, and decided to apply some pressure. They decided to pass and send to the Governor the more costly killed-then-resurrected Senate bill. Governor Brownback has said that he is willing to sign the bill, but has also seemed to indicate that he is open to less costly solutions:

I am prepared to sign the bill but I encourage Kansas Legislators to continue their work on reforming our state's tax policy and to consider some of the alternatives I proposed in my original pro-growth tax reform to off-set the cost.

Some of the Governor's proposals went farther than the bill on his desk by eliminating more tax credits and most itemized deductions. His proposals also included freezing a scheduled sales tax rate reduction which is set to reduce the rate from 6.3% to 5.7%.

All of the proposals being discussed in Kansas cut marginal tax rates and broaden the tax base to some extent. This is good. While different experts might disagree on some of the details, they generally agree that broad tax bases and low tax rates are central features of good tax policy. Broadening the base alone (eliminating tax preferences such as credits, deductions, exemptions, etc.) will tend to increase revenue, while lowering tax rates will obviously decrease revenue. Theoretically, any tax reform could be structured so that the rate cuts exactly offset the base broadening provisions. This would be the so-called "revenue neutral" approach. If a plan does more rate-cutting than base-broadening, the reform will reduce revenue. On the other hand, more base-broadening and smaller rate cuts would increase overall revenue (this scenario does not appear to be on the table in Kansas).

Revenue neutral tax reform is generally a good idea,* but cutting the overall tax burden can be beneficial as well. It appears that the disagreement in Kansas is over whether the reform should be a large net tax cut or something closer to revenue neutrality. It will be interesting to see how the addition of this hefty bargaining chip on the Governor's desk will change the debate.

For previous posts about the evolving efforts at income tax reform/reductions in Kansas see herehere, and here.

*assuming the base-broadening eliminates distortionary tax preferences and not certain provisions that are arguably justifiable in order to get the tax base right (e.g. deductions for business expenses, net operating losses, etc.).

May 11, 2012

This week the editors of Time magazine stirred up an Internet-wide controversy with a cover photo of mother/blogger Jamie Lynne Grumet breastfeeing her 4 year old son. The accompanying article, which discusses the virtues of "attachment parenting," created an avalanche of reaction, commentary, and satire, everywhere from Fox News to the the Huffington Post.

It was in the latter outlet that columnist Lisa Belkin characterized the debate over breastfeeding as one that was about "nutrition, and workplace policy, and government responsibility, and gender relationships." At first it seemed odd that a personal parenting decision like what to feed young children should be about "government responsibility," but it turns out that both state and federal governmental agencies are no strangers to the issue. 

It was only last year, for example, that the Internal Revenue Service, bowing to lobbying from groups such as the U.S. Lactation Consultant Association, issued new rules that reclassified breast pumping supplies as "medical devices" rather than merely "feeding devices."

The Internal Revenue Service announced today that you can use pre-tax flexible spending account money to buy a breast pump and related lactation supplies, reversing a stingy position. After all, other kinds of medical equipment, like crutches and hearing aid batteries qualify for the tax break.

It’s good news for working moms. According to the American Academy of Pediatrics, which advocated for the change in a letter to Internal Revenue Service Commissioner Douglas Shulman last year, the old policy left “millions of working mothers without the financial assistance to obtain a breast pump and continue nursing their children.” That was a problem because nursing provides numerous health benefits to mother and child, the letter said.

Decisions like this, of course, are a natural outgrowth of a tax code that attemps to micromanage behaviors and purchasing decisions in every aspect of life. As long as the government continues deciding which parenting decisions qualify for special tax treatment, the public policy process will be pulled into debates that in most times and places are considered private family matters.

May 10, 2012

A Colorado back-to-school sales tax holiday bill met a quick end at the hand of the state's Senate Appropriations Committee. The bill had already passed the House and the Senate Finance Committee, but did not gain support in the Appropriations Committee. The Denver Post reports:

The fact that it was a bill sponsored by their president, who is running for Congress in the 4th Congressional District, didn't sway Senate Democrats on the committee. Nor did the fact that the bill passed with significant support in the GOP-led House convince any Republicans that the bill was worth voting for.

The sales tax holiday would have been authorized for 5 years, beginning after the first year where state personal income grew by at least 5%.

The Tax Foundation (and other policy experts) has consistently opposed sales tax holidays. They are poor tax policy. They are gimmicks that do little or nothing to help the economy or reduce overall tax burdens. The increase in consumer spending associated with a sales tax holiday is largely due to shifts in the timing of purchases, not overall increases in purchases. Consider: how many parents forgo necessary school supplies for their children because of the added cost of the sales tax?

If the justification is that families need a tax cut, there are ways to accomplish this that avoid the unnecessary costs associated with requiring retailers and consumers to jump through a bunch of hoops to make it happen. How about reducing the overall sales tax rate?

If a politician is proposing a sales tax holiday it is likely because (a) they want to be able to claim to be a tax cutter, but (b) they don't actually want to cut taxes that much. Voters should not view sales tax holidays as anything but a gimmick designed to appease them and reduce the demand for real tax reform or tax reductions.

May 10, 2012

Although Brown University is a non-profit institution and is exempt from paying property taxes to the city of Providence, Rhode Island, it still makes payments of $4 million per year to the city. This week the city convinced Brown University to pay $31 million more over the next 11 years. To put this in perspective, if Brown had to pay the commercial property real estate tax, it would owe about $38 million per year. The city will raise a total of nearly $100 million by collecting these payments in lieu of taxes (PILOTs) from nine of the city's tax exempt organizations.

Generally, municipal governments exempt universities, hospitals and other nonprofits from paying property taxes. But the government is often partially compensated for lost tax revenue by collecting PILOTs either from the exempt organizations or from the state government. As for colleges and universities, a 'significant minority' pay PILOTs, according to the Lincoln Institute. In Brown's case, the state government used subtle coercion to increase these payments by considering legislation to require PILOTs from tax exempt organizations. In another example of coercion, Baltimore threatened to tax hospital and dorm beds at Johns Hopkins University if it didn't agree to a PILOT arrangement. Cities have increasingly considered turning to non-profits after the recession put a dent in their other revenue sources. 

Proponents of PILOTs argue that these agreements correct two imbalances in the tax system. If nonprofits paid taxes, nonprofits with valuable land holdings pay an arbitrarily higher tax than other nonprofits. The other imbalance is that while local governments foot the bill to provide services such as policing or fire protection to universities, the benefits of those services go to university students from all over the country. The payments also satisfy governments' desire to raise revenue. One official in Syracuse worried that hospitals "gobbled up property that used to be taxable."

Although these imbalances may exist, governments should also consider the hazards of PILOT agreements. A study by the Lincoln Institute concluded that they are often secretive, haphazard, arbitrarily calculated, and an unreliable source of funds in the long-term.

PILOT payments are less than what a nonprofit would pay if it was not tax exempt, but more than what it is obligated to pay as tax exempt organizations (i.e. zero). Because of this, PILOTs might be viewed either as a subsidy or as a tax.  An example where many would view the PILOT as a subsidy is New York City, where the City financed construction of Yankee Stadium with tax exempt bonds and then paid the IRS a small fraction of the taxes it would have paid if they had issued taxable bonds. With Brown, on the other hand, if you believe that universities should be tax exempt, you might view the PILOT as a tax.  Viewed either way, the payment is in an arbitrary amount.

 The debate over PILOTs resembles the debate over whether to give nonprofits tax-exempt status as charitable organizations. The argument against the exemption is that it violates the benefit principle: nonprofits should pay the government for the services they use. And we have previously made the argument that giving some organizations tax-exempt status gives them a competitive advantage over similar organizations that are not tax-exempt. An example is that the tax code treats Harper's, Mother Jones, and some other magazines as 'charitable providers of educational materials.'  If the rationale for tax exempt status is that the public has an interest in promoting education and certain other activities, one can argue that competitors of Harper's already promote these activities without the help of tax exempt status. As with PILOTs, governments' treatment of nonprofits is arbitrary.

There are a number of reforms that might mitigate concerns with whether and how to raise revenue from nonprofits. First, removing the tax exemption for charities would remove the differential treatment of similar organizations. We recommended a somewhat less dramatic change in our 2005 paper on the federal charitable deduction:

Most 501(c)(3) charities [...] are neither charitable, in the sense of relying mostly on altruistic gifts, nor providers of public goods. This analysis suggests lawmakers should explore ways to curtail the definition of tax exempt charity, and exclude groups that are now benefiting unfairly [...].

Third, if the system of tax exemptions and PILOTs remains, PILOTs could be made to conform to a uniform and transparent standard.

May 09, 2012

Ernst & Young (E&Y), the large accounting firm, has a new study out today (PDF) that lists potential benefits from state film tax credits. Because the study was paid for by the Motion Picture Association of America (MPAA), whose members benefit the most from such subsidies, I presume they wanted a study that endorsed the credits as good economic development policy. E&Y did not do that.

Instead, the E&Y study simply lists potential benefits from film tax credits that one should include when comparing benefits and costs. These include increased tourism, new infrastructure like studio facilities, and ancillary activity beyond studio spending. E&Y is critical of "a number of studies" (ours) that focus primarily on whether the credit pays for itself in dollar terms.

I concede that the benefits they list are important ones, but they are also tough to quantify. I presume that (unsubsidized) Family Guy has boosted tourism in Rhode Island, but by how much? Whether a hotel room would have been booked in the absence of filming activity is also tough to know. In any event, contrary to their implication, most evaluations of these programs have included these benefits in their benefit-cost calculation, nevertheless finding that the costs exceed the total benefits.

The fact that E&Y's report is unwilling to call these programs successful, but rather limit itself to listing possible benefits, is telling. Their tepid conclusion should alert officials that even a paid-for study by a reputable firm can't prove something that's not true. We applaud E&Y's call for more scrutiny of the benefits of these costly film incentive programs (over $1.2 billion in tax dollars each year). Film tax credits do not pay for themselves. While some benefits accrue to in-state filmmakers and suppliers, on the whole they are a net transfer from taxpayers to out-of-state production company beneficiaries.

For more information on film tax incentives, please see our larger report on the topic.

May 07, 2012

Over at The Foundry, Kathryn Nix and Alyene Senger consider the tax impact of the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act – known as “Obamacare” to its critics and supporters alike. Many recent sources have pointed out that “the wealthy” would be better off if PPACA were found unconstitutional, because of the 3.8% surtax included in the law for those earning more than $200,000 a year. Nix and Segner argue, however, that the tax burden of Obamacare will end up being quite widespread and fall on the majority of the U.S. population, not just a handful of high-income earners.

They emphasize that, over time, the normal process of inflation will pull an ever-larger number of Americans into the pool of individuals subject to higher payroll taxes:

Obamacare raises taxes by more than $500 billion in a decade, and a number of these will hit Americans at all levels of the income scale.

Beginning in 2013, the law increases the Hospital Insurance (HI) payroll tax from 2.9 percent to 3.8 percent for individuals earning above $200,000 and couples earning more than $250,000. The payroll tax is also applied to these earners’ investment income for the first time. But since the increased tax rates aimed at these higher income brackets are not indexed to inflation, they will impact more middle-class Americans every year.

In fact, the higher payroll tax rate will eventually hit a huge majority of Americans.

If you’re wondering how the tax law changes in Obamacare will affect your household in particular, make your way to the Health Care Tax Calculator, where you can get a quick estimate of how much your tax burden will rise as the law phases in.

For more information on the constitutionality of the law itself, see the Tax Foundation’s Supreme Court brief, The Health Care Individual Mandate is Beyond Congress’s Taxing Power, by Joseph Henchman and Laura Lieberman.

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Disclaimer: All views expressed on the Tax Foundation’s Tax Policy Blog are those of the individual authors, and do not necessarily represent the views of the Tax Foundation, its Board of Directors, or its financial contributors. The Tax Foundation makes no representation concerning the views expressed, and does not guarantee the source, originality, accuracy, completeness or reliability of any statement, information, data, finding, interpretation, advice, opinion, or view presented.