Tax Modeling

The Tax Foundation’s Taxes and Growth Model is a tax scoring model that evaluates the impact taxes have on the economy. The TAG Model estimates the impact tax changes have on wages, jobs, cost of capital, distribution of income, federal revenue, and the overall size of the economy. This information helps Members of Congress, journalists, and citizens better understand tax proposals.

The Economic and Distributional Impact of the Trump Administration’s Tariff Actions

December 5, 2018

Economic and Budgetary Impact of Indexing Capital Gains to Inflation

September 4, 2018

Decomposing a Dynamic Revenue Estimate

July 30, 2018

Bureau of Economic Analysis Releases Q2 2018 GDP Estimate

July 27, 2018

State-by-State Job Impacts of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act in 2018

July 19, 2018

Making the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act Individual Income Tax Provisions Permanent

July 10, 2018

The Distributional Impact of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act over the Next Decade

June 28, 2018

Missing Some Context on Stock Buybacks

May 8, 2018

Fed’s “Beige Book” Highlights Widespread Concern over Tariffs

April 19, 2018

Modeling the Impact of President Trump’s Proposed Tariffs

April 12, 2018

Tax Reform Bill Will Increase the Trade Deficit. Good or Bad?

March 20, 2018

New Study Shows United States Taxes Capital Income at Above-Average Rates

February 28, 2018

New OECD Study Reviews Research on Who Bears the Burden of Business Taxes

January 12, 2018

Trade and Capital Flow Consequences of Tax Reform: A Means to a Faster Expansion of U.S. Capital Formation and Employment

December 21, 2017

Preliminary Details and Analysis of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act

December 18, 2017

The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act: Preliminary Economic Analysis